EU27 COVID19 DATA AND FORECAST OF NEW & TOTAL CASES, APRIL 7TH, 2020

April 7 th, 2020.
Fabio Gori, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy.
www.termofluidodinamica.it 
eucovid19.blogspot.com
covid19forecast.blogspot.com
usacovid91.blogspot.com
forbigaio.blogspot.com

Today I have assembled data and forecast of the COVID19 infections in EU, of April 6 th, 2020.

The forecast of the total infections is somewhat above 700,000, while the same data, rated per 1000 capita, is 1.6.






Today, for the first time, I have done and reported the Verhulst forecast of the new cases.
The forecast depends on the initial day, due to the day by day variation of the data.
The forecast starting from March 10th brings to a forecast of 25,000 new cases .
The forecast starting from March 13th to a forecast of 42,000.
As is shown from the following figure the two values are completely compatible with the day by day variation of the new cases.








 

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